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Things to do in June in Sullivan County

Callicoon tractor paradeStep-by-Step Guide of things to do the first two weeks June in Sullivan County

Although summer does not start until the third week in June, the unofficial start of summer here in Sullivan County is Memorial Day, (although the weather hasn't really cooperated so far.) However I think warmer weather lies ahead, and June is when things really start happening in the Sullivan County Catskills.

So look no further than my comprehensive list of things to do in Sullivan County in June below of events and activities taking place in our region during the first two weeks June 2015. I have included my favorites, however a full calendar of events can be found here. I will follow up this post with things to do the last two weeks in June.


Here is a breakdown of what my list will cover:

a) All activities are in Sullivan County, NY.

b) Most are kid friendly, but for a few, it may be best find a babysitter for the evening.

c) They are a mix of indoor and outdoor, so even if the weather does not cooperate, you can still have some fun.

d) All are pretty inexpensive. You do not need to break the bank to have some fun in any of our towns.

e) I have also added a few nice spots to eat.

f) Farmers markets are every weekend throughout the summer in Callicoon, Jeffersonville, Livingston Manor, Rock Hill and Barryville. More information here.

June 4th

1)  Exhibit at Delaware Valley Arts Alliance. Riverfest: 25 Years. Billed as a "retrospective exhibit of approximately 50 posters from 25 years of Riverfest. Riverfest is a weekend event in Narrowsburg, it is best described as a cross between a street and country fair–an art and environmental festival featuring artists & artisans, stuff to do for the kids, live poster auction, live music and great food. This year's event takes place on July 26th, but the exhibit runs all through June. The Delaware Valley Arts Alliance is located on Main Street in Narrowsburg, and is a must stop if you are in the area.

Livingston Manor Arnold House2) Also on June 4th is Comedy Night at the Arnold House with headliner Joe Larson, and two other opening acts. For twenty bucks you can't go wrong. The Arnold House is another spot that you should absolutely check out if you are in the area.

June 5th

Farming with the kids at Apple Pond Farms 10-5 PM. This is a recurring event every Friday and Saturday until October. Kids do real farm chores, including milking goats, feeding chickens, collecting eggs, grooming horses, and harvesting from the garden. Other activities may include sheep shearing and information on renewable energy and how it relates to farming.

June 6th

Talk & Walk: Finger Lake Trail in the Catskills Rick Roberts, the Catskill Maintenance Coordinator for the Finger Lakes Trail will be leading the expedition. It is an intermediate hike.

June 7th

Sunday Brunch with Jazz: At the Dancing Cat.  A delicious brunch beginning at 11:00 with a side of jazz featuring Barry Scheinfeld & Revolving Friends. Menu and more information here

 June 8th

Moonlit Movie Mondays series–The Rocky Horror Picture Show!  At Bethel Woods Stage. Bring a blanket and dance to a cult classic as it celebrates 50 years. The Moonlight Monday series runs throughout the summer.

June 13th

Trout Parade Livingston Manor–A street fair and parade along Livingston Manor's promenade. Activities include stilt-walkers, performers from Catskill Puppet Theater, face painting, art activities, and much more.

June 14th

Callicoon Tractor Parade–Tractors old and new, large and small, parade down Main Street at 12 noon. After the parade, stay for the chicken barbeque and entertainment at the Delaware Community Center. Prior to the parade, the Callicoon Fire Department hosts its annual pancake breakfast. If you aren't at the tractor parade, you are missing out.

Stay tuned for next week's post which will cover the second half of June!

Posted in: My Blog Tagged: Deer Population in Sullivan County, Delaware Valley Youth Center, Houses for sale in Sullivan County, Sullivan County NY Real Estate Blog, Things to do in Sullivan County

Monticello Gets The Casino Nod

CasinoCasino will be at the old Concord site

Empire Resorts has won the casino lottery. Its Montreign/Adelaar proposal was approved by Albany on December 17th. The site for the new casino will be the old Concord Resort site in Monticello. This was not the surprising news. (The general consensus was that this is where the site would be.)  The real surprising news was that this is the only site approved in the Catskill/Hudson Valley region. No proposed sites in Ulster or more importantly Orange counties were approved.

Obviously this puts Sullivan County in a very strong position. One that it has not enjoyed in a very long time. Will this be the economic boom that this county has been searching for since the late seventies? We will see, but today was a huge step in that direction.

It will be interesting to see the surge of prospector money that floods the area over the next twelve to twenty-four months. Prices are sure to rise.

Below is a map search of the area surrounding the site. Right now it defaults to residential only listings, but click the “search criteria” tab to see commercial and land listings as well.

 

Posted in: My Blog Tagged: Sullivan County Casino, Sullivan County NY Real Estate Blog

Expiring Tax Credits for 2014

Sullivan County Tax infoWill The Senate extend the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act?

Currently we have 14 days left in 2014, and as of today,  The US Senate has still not voted on whether this bill, which could cost tax-payers (who clearly do not have the money) millions.

Although short sales are down in 2014, there still were thousands of owners across the country who  after struggling with underwater properties, decided to take the risk and negotiate a short sale and debt cancellation from their lenders. In a short sale, the lender allows a new purchaser to buy a house at a price below the mortgage amount owed by the seller. As part of the deal, the lender typically forgives the unpaid balance.

And the risk they still face is this. If the Senate and House do not pass an extension of the mortgage debt relief law here in the last few weeks of 2014, the full principal balance the lenders had written off on mortgages likely will be treated as ordinary income for 2014. Although the sellers never received a dollar of that “income” , the federal government views it as such, and a fairly large tax bill will greet these already down-trodden home sellers. Unfairness at its height.

For example if $200,000 is owed on the mortgage, but the negotiated short sale price is $150,000. Uncle Sam considers your W-2 to be 50K higher, and they expect taxes to be paid on the difference.

In late summer, it appeared that the bill was moving forward, but in typical partisan stupidity, it bogged down as both parties used it as a weapon to further other, less pressing agendas. As of right now most pundits believe that it will pass at the final hour, but that certainly is not written in stone.

Now if the tax bill is high enough, you can claim insolvency. ( Insolvency is where total debt exceeds total assets.) In that case, the taxes owed would be forgiven.  That is really the only other way to avoid paying the taxes on this phantom income. Even bankruptcy does not necessarily wipe out a federal tax debt.

So as the hours tick down, we will see.

The other tax credit that will not be available to homeowners is the ability to write off private mortgage insurance. (PMI) Since 2007 the government has allowed anyone who did not have the necessary 20% down payment for a conventional loan to write off the mortgage premium they were paying–dollar for dollar. Well that also expired in 2013, and although there has been some talk of extending it, it does not look promising. It really is a shame too. Obviously anyone who has a mortgage with PMI is already paying a higher monthly sum, and is more likely to benefit the most from this sort of tax relief.  But by all means, let’s do away with this tax break, while we continue to subsidize Exxon, and let BOA operate hundreds of tax free locations.

Posted in: My Blog Tagged: Sullivan County NY Real Estate Blog

It Appears it was Busy Summer

Timber Lake Estate LakefrontThe summer is officially over. And things are quite a bit quieter in the various towns here in Sullivan County. School is back in session, and many of the summer visitors have returned to their fall and winter schedules.

The summer selling season seemed busy to me, although I did not put together as many deals as I would have liked. I had a few listings that I was sure would sell this summer that did not. It is perplexing to me, because how or when a buyer comes along really does not have that much rhyme or reason. It was certainly not without lack of trying. I was busy. Just sometimes in this business busy does not translate into productive.

However the “hotsheet” on the Sullivan County MLS shows that this was indeed a busy and productive summer. Over the last thirty days, a whopping sixty listings went into the “contract signed” status. (this of course reflects activity over the last few months.) Two are over a million, including a gorgeous lakefront home in Timber Lake Estates that was on the market less than 180 days. There is also a York Lake front listed for 895K that received signed contracts this month.  There is also a handful in the 300K range, and another few in the 250K range. The market was definitely moving this summer.

Click here for a list of all homes that went into “contract signed” status in the last thirty days.

Now in between signed contracts and closing, there is always a myriad of traps and minefields that will undoubtedly kill a few of these deals, But hopefully those will be few and far between, and the majority will successfully close on their new homes.

Posted in: My Blog Tagged: Market Data for Sullivan County, Sullivan County NY Real Estate Blog

Zillow

ZillowSo court papers were filed this week in the law suit against former Realtor.com president Errol Samuelson for breach of contract, breach of fiduciary responsibility and misappropriation of trade secrets. The official complainant is Move. Inc., but make no mistake, this is Realtor.com, (so in essence the National Association of Realtors) vs. Zillow. 

Samuelson ran realtor.com from  2003 to 2007 as CEO before switching roles to become the Chief Strategy Officer of Move and its subsidiaries Real Select Inc. and Top Producer, (all under the National Association of Realtor umbrella) He resigned suddenly on March 5th and was announced as Zillow's new chief industry development officer almost immediately.  Zillow also poached another long time Move exec. Curt Beardsley at the same time.

Realtor.com put out a statement saying, "“We take action in cases in which we believe our trade secrets have been compromised. We have raised this matter for the courts and believe that the matter will be resolved judiciously.”  The complaint alleges Samuelson also  “arranged to defect to Zillow, destroyed evidence, and then resigned from Move without notice,” an act “timed to damage Move and inhibit Move’s response.” Furthermore it states that if Samuelson  “undertakes the tasks for which he was hired by Zillow, the unauthorized disclosure or use of plaintiffs’ trade secrets … is inevitable,”

 Although there has been some simmering over the years, but this is the first time the two giants of the real estate online game have really butted heads.( Zillow had recruited a few other lower level Realtor.com execs in 2009, but apparently grabbing the top gun really rubbed them the wrong way.)

I am glad this is happening, and there is bad blood between NAR, (so in essence realtors in general) and Zillow. I have been pretty vocal of my dislike for Zillow (and Trulia). Actually dislike is not the right word. I have been concerned how agents and brokers are being taken advantage of, as these companies have grown and dominated a sector like no other. In April 2014 27% of all online real estate searches were on Zillow or Trulia. To put that in perspective, Amazon accounted for 5.8% of online retail sales during the same time. You may say its comparing apples to oranges, but it is rather eye opening to see just how dominant these businesses have become.

And they have done it on the backs of small to middle producing real estate agents. Agents who willingly donate the lion's share of the information on these sites, with no compensation, and now are being charge monthly fees so they can appear as "premier" or "pro" agents. And as these sites have become more popular, the monthly rates have increased. Now agent can spend upwards of $5,000 a year on each site to appear next to local listings in their zip codes.

Now if you register and "claim" your listings, they will put your contact info next to your own listings. (Zillow does put you at the top, but Trulia puts you second–even on your own claimed listings.) To me that is unconscionable and absurd that this is allowed, or at least not protested. 

And furthermore as a slap in the face, Zillow ran this ad recently.

Where is the agent? I am assuming there needed to be some sort of licensed real estate professional (according to the law) to set up all those showings, present offers, etc. There is a quick shot of a generic real estate sign, but no realtor. Zillow makes most of its money directly from real estate brokers and agents, and they don't show one in their advertisements?

So how has Zillow morphed and grown into this online behemoth?  Well they were started in ’05 in Seattle by some pretty bright minds that previously had a hand in Microsoft and Expedia. And they give information that people want.

Basically they are a database that includes 100 million homes across the United States. And although current homes on the market are a big part of their search results, in addition they give value estimates of homes, by offering several features including value changes of each home in a given time frame (Zesitmates), aerial views of homes, and prices of comparable homes in the area. Where they can access appropriate public data, it also provides basic information on a given home, such as square footage and the number of bedrooms and bathrooms. Users can also get current estimates of homes if there was a significant change made, such as a recently remodeled kitchen.

In this age of information, it is the site where you can do a virtual window peep into your neighbor's  specs and financial history of their home.

And where are they getting this information? Well from  local municipalities and tax records, but more and more they are gleaning  this information from the unwitting foot soldiers–the real estate agent.  Long after a listing has sold, or gone off market, the pictures and information that Zillow takes from your local multiple listing service stays on their site. And while an agent pays yearly MLS dues, as well as a fee for each time a listing is registered, Zillow is allowed to immediately snatch that information completely for free, and use it as bait to earn money through the advertising it adds to the page, either from the same agents it just took from, or Adsense or other various vendors. (Bank of America recently signed a big advertising contract with Zillow.) Not a bad gig right? Sell people something that we can get for free.

And now a simmering dislike between NAR and Zillow has exploded into litigation warfare. Will it prompt NAR to act, and band it's "associates" together to fight Zillow? Well the issue is, NAR's hands are a bit tied. First of all there is an anti-trust issue. Although most agents and brokers in the United States are members of NAR, we are in fact competing companies–separate entities . Banding together to lobby for certain governmental housing programs or other such reform is fine, however conspiracy to squeeze a competitor brings up all sorts of nasty  collusive issues in the "restraint of trade."  NAR cannot simply tell its members to no longer use Zillow. It's against the law.

The other issue is, these feeds are not coming from NAR. They are coming from smaller local multiple listing services who through  third party sites, distribute the listing feeds to various online portals like Zillow, (and Realtor.com). Although NAR governs the local MLS's, and oversees the bylaws,  the  individual decisions, like what distribution software etc. is up to the MLS board. For example the Sullivan County Multiple Listing Service uses a company called Point2 to dispense the listings. Within hours of me submitting a listing to the SCMLS, my pictures are branded with a Point2 logo, and they are shipped out to these various carnivorous sites, where the agent who has paid the most will have their toothy grin next to my brand new listing. And for that I get to pay a fairly substantial yearly fee, plus an additional fee for every listing posted.

Don't get me wrong, I do not blame the agent(s). They are spending the dollars to bring in business.  I have a MLS feed on my website. My  grin is next to other agent's listings. Co-broking is what the MLS was founded on. My issue is that  Zillow is a massive MLS feed disguised as a real estate agency, competing with (and destroying) local real estate companies online presence.

Right now if you pick a local town and type it into Google– for example Callicoon NY Real Estate, or Jeffersonville NY Real Estate,  Zillow is constantly in the top three. They are there in EVERY real estate search throughout the country. They are #1 in New York, NY Real Estate or Manhattan Real Estate–they have managed to bump Douglas Elliman (the largest LOCAL real estate company)  from the top spot.

There is really no business that is more locally oriented than real estate. How can a company based in Seattle have top ranking for "Youngsville NY Real Estate"?

And they have very cleverly integrated themselves so agents unknowingly boost their Google rankings further. They have an online template company called Postlets, that easily lets agents fill in some blanks, add some pictures, and suddenly you have a very nice, professional looking single property webpage, that you can post on all the aggregate sites, plus Backpage, Craigslist, etc. However Zillow imbeds a link back to their homepage, so any agent who uses this service is helping them boost rankings. They also offer a "Zillow 5 star agent badge" which an agent can add to their website, ( I suppose to tout one's prowess), however it is the same Trojan Horse concept. There is a nice little link back to Zillow. However any link that Zillow has on their site back to an agent's site is "no-followed." (Meaning Zillow is essentially saying, "Do not trust, or follow this link" to Google.) 

Zillow is not the first major company to engage in questionable practices to gain Google rankings. JC Penny's was outed by the New York Time's in 2011 for buying links to boost its rankings for search terms ranging from bedding to vacuums. Google promptly hit them with a pretty major penalty. JC Penny could not be found anywhere on Google for almost three months. They have since recovered, but nowhere near where they were. They blamed it on an outside company hired to improve online search results. Also  more recently Overstock.com was hit with a Google penalty when they were outed for offering college kids discounts to write and add links on different college blogs and sites. (An .edu domain is looked on favorably by search engines.) Again a contrite Overstock was allowed back in Google's good graces after a short stay in the penalty box.

So why has Google not turned its wrath on Zillow? Well for one I think that Zillow's practices are not quite so blatant, so they don't clearly violate Google's terms. However I do hope, that Google will take a closer look. (Who knows, maybe Matt  Cutts reads my blog) To have a company dominate the search engine results as much as Zillow is unfair to thousands of real estate companies across the country large and small.

And in the meantime I hope that all the small MLS organizations around the country also take a closer look at Zillow, (and Trulia) and try to come up with a way that we can slow this runaway train a bit, and figure out a way where it can benefit the hard working agents. Already there have been a few. The Denver MLS has refused to send its MLS data feed to Zillow since March. And the local San Diego MLS has insisted a special "advertising remarks" section be added to their feed, where agents can add a phone number, website and other contact info that aggregate sites cannot hide.

As a consumer, I can see one saying, who cares? Why should I care where I am getting my information from? Well the problem is some of the information that Zillow touts is wrong. If a home has not been listed for awhile (or ever), Zillow cannot take the MLS sheet info on a home, so instead they pull it from the tax assessor records. And many times those are incorrect, sometime blatantly so.  (Very few homeowners will volunteer information to the assessor, especially when that info could potentially  raise their taxes.) So many homes listed as two bedrooms one bath are really three and two, etc. Some independent studies have calculated that the amount of homes that have inaccurate data on Zillow (and Trulia)  is as high as 30%. Can you imagine if I gave out correct information only 70% of the time? I would be out of business, (with more than one pending lawsuit)  in weeks.

 I recently saw a house sell for $834,000. Zillow's "Zestimate" on that same house was $142,000. Again so blatantly inaccurate that it makes me shake my head.  But some homeowners see these estimated home values, and believe them.

And that is just the wrong information Zillow has on homes that aren't for sale. They are also notorious for keeping homes on their site listed "for sale" long after a home has expired or been sold. I was once sent a listing from a prospective buyer on a home that had been sold two years prior and still listed as active and fully available on Zillow.

Zillow's CEO was asked about inaccurate information. His 2013 tweet is below.

Sounds to me like Mr. Rascoff is fairly nonchalant about misleading listings on his web site, and in fact it also sounds like he is promoting the old bait and switch.

The bait and switch is considered "misleading the public" and not allowed under the Realtor Code of Ethics. However Zillow can not only shrug it off, but actually encourage it.     

At some point these sort of inaccuracies and gray area shenanigans will anger the wrong, (or right) person, and Zillow will hopefully be made more accountable for what is demonstrated on their website, But for now, we should stick to the old mantra. Let the buyer beware. 

And for Zillow the buyers are us real estate professionals. 

Posted in: My Blog Tagged: Sullivan County NY Real Estate Blog

Technology

Sullivan County NY Real Estate

​I got my real estate license in March 2006, so in a few months it will be eight years that I have been in this racket. And over the past few months as I approach my eighth year, I have thought about how the business has changed, and more specifically how technology has changed it.

For me the biggest change that has made it easier is GPS. When I first started, finding the homes I was showing was the biggest challenge. There is nothing that ruins your credibility more than getting lost while you have a client in your car or following you. It was the sort of thing that would get me in a panic.

And no amount of research with the available tools back then guaranteed you would find the listing. Many of the houses here in Sullivan County do not have a visible address. Or even worse the addresses have changed, and the old one is on the house.  MapQuest (2006 version), the listings agents cryptic directions and a prayer was all the tools I had.

Now all the tax maps are online, and they are layered with Bing maps, so I can type in an address, see the property lines, and zoom down on the house. Then I type it into my GPS and I know EXACTLY where I am going. All the uncertainty is gone. Setting up a five home tour takes fifteen minutes, where it used to take a few hours.

Another change is being able to produce and email documents and sign them without ever having to print them out. Now of course there was fax machines when I started, but they were cumbersome, and many times a signed faxed document was not considered legal. Now I can type up a listing agreement in thirty seconds, send it to a client, who can digitally sign it, and send it back. Gone are the days of signing the listing papers at the kitchen table. In fact two of my sales in 2013, I never met the sellers until the closing.

And that is not necessarily a good thing. It's convenient  to the sellers, but it is in that convenience that we lose something, and what brings me to the downside of the technology age.

Like I said I had two sales this year where I did not meet the sellers until the day we closed. And for one of them, I think I had three phone conversations with them–start to finish. Now you might be thinking, what is the problem? Well we had a tremendous amount of correspondence, it was not an easy deal, and it almost fell apart three or four times. Everything was done by text. That is the way the seller wanted it. She is a busy executive in the city, and that is how she felt  comfortable communicating. I would call her with an update, and she would return the call with a text.

And now more and more it seems everything is done by text. Now I don't mind a text from an agent saying, "Go ahead show the house, the lockbox is XXXXX," or, "I'll be there in ten minutes," or even, "Any showings scheduled on my house this weekend?" All these examples make sense to me, and the technology works.  But working through a negotiation entirely by text makes it much more difficult for me. There is a certain feel you get from having a conversation, and it sort of tells you which tact to take. A text tells you nothing. I liken it to playing online poker, or sitting across the table.  It is a blindfold that hampers my ability.

Also a text can be sent when a phone call might be inappropriate, like late at night. Also a text conversation can drag out over a few hours. A phone call has a beginning and an end, a text conversation never really ends. It just sort of hangs out there.

I don't mind being accessible. I just am not quite comfortable with the texting nuances. Slowly my smart phone has become an appendage. I left home the other day and thought I had forgotten it. The anxious feeling I got as I  frantically patted myself down was rather eye opening. It wasn't that long ago that I never left the house with a phone. Now suddenly  I feel I can't live without it?

And this new communication is not going away. I am just going to have to learn to adapt. I certainly don't want to be the proverbial buggy whip maker. So please, feel free to text me as you wish. 

Posted in: My Blog Tagged: Sullivan County NY Real Estate Blog

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John Ducey
REALTOR® Associate Broker
Direct: 845 807-6043
NY Lic. 30DU1098465
PA Lic. RS373475

115 Del Vue Road
Callicoon, NY 12723
Office: 845-807-6043
Keller Williams
jducey1234@aol.com
Sullivan County Real Estate

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